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July 18, 2006

The Poor Arabs Just Can't Get It Right

If you read the Huffington Post blog or the Drudge Report you would think that some big, mysterious international diplomacy was going on when Hamas and Hezbollah kidnapped the Israeli soldiers. Former Senator Gary Hart blamed the Iraq War on something that has been going on intermittently for years. Disproportionate prisoner exchanges.

Another theory is that Iran and Syria are indirectly responsible by winking and nodding at the kidnappings. It's all an attempt by the pundits to appear to see the 'big picture' in foreign policy. To give the impression that there is much more than meets the eye and only the pundit can see it.

I think all of that speculation is absurd. I think the Arabs just screwed up again, as they always do when they have a chance for peace with Israel.

Take Hamas, for instance. They want the world to take them seriously as a legitimate government when they won't even recognize Israel's right to exist. Sure. Then to make sure they further de-legitimize their regime, they kidnap an Israeli soldier. This in turn gives Israel the opportunity to bash them without world disapproval. Dumb, very, very dumb, folks.

Then to the north Hezbollah kidnaps two Israeli soldiers and gives Israel an opportunity that they have been waiting and planning for years; to destroy it. Hezbollah didn't need Iran or Syria to tell them to do something that stupid. They were quite capable of doing it themselves. Dumb, very, very dumb.

Some things aren't as complicated as the 'big thinkers' want them to be, ladies and gentlemen. Some things are very simple. Hamas and Hezbollah totally screwed up and the Israelis are making them pay.

The Arabs kidnapped Israeli soldiers and expected to get back hundreds as they have in the past. Bad calculation. Just the kind of typical miscalculation that will always assure Israel of ascendancy in the Middle East.

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